Illegal Trade in Natural Resources
Duncan Brack
“The major categories of natural resources traded illegally are wildlife,
timber and fish. It is of course impossible to know for sure the total value
of illegal trade in these products, but educated guesses put it at a minimum
of US$20 billion a year…”
Over the last three decades, the national and
international framework for the protection of
the natural environment has evolved rapidly.
As legislation has expanded, however, so too
have opportunities to evade it. International
environmental crime—i.e., deliberate evasion
of environmental laws and regulations by
individuals and companies in the pursuit of
personal financial benefit, where the impacts
are transboundary or global—is a serious and
growing problem.
It has been made worse by the general trend towards
trade liberalization and deregulation; wherever the legal movement
of products across borders is facilitated, so too are illegal movements.
Yet the topic has hardly ever been discussed at the World Trade Organization
(WTO). In fact, those hostile to various measures proposed to control
illegal trade have often cited WTO rules as an obstacle to their adoption;
though whether WTO rules really would impede them is entirely speculative.
The major categories of natural resources traded illegally
are wildlife, timber and fish. It is of course impossible to know
for sure the total value of illegal trade in these products, but educated
guesses put it at a minimum of US$20 billion a year, perhaps up to
25 per cent of the total legal trade and over five per cent of the
size of the global drugs trade. Other natural resources, including
oil, diamonds and other gemstones, and minerals such as coltan, are
also traded illegally, but in general less extensively than the three
main categories considered here. They are also more commonly associated
with conflict, which raises slightly different questions.
Why does international environmental crime exist? In
practice, there are a number of drivers behind the formation of environmental
black markets:
• Enforcement failure. Where illegal activities exist
because of problems with enforcement, including suitability of regulations,
costs of compliance (detection of environmental contraband is often
very difficult), lack of resources and expertise, corruption, and
political and economic disruption.
• Regulatory failure. Where illegal activities result
from a lack of appropriate regulation, including failures to determine
and/or protect property rights.
• Differential costs or values. Where illegal activities
are driven by regulations creating cost differentials between legal
and illegal products, by differential compliance costs (or different
consumer prices) in different countries, by demand for scarce products
for which substitutes are not available or accepted, and by a lack
of concern for the environment.
The reported incidence of illegal activities has undoubtedly
grown in recent years, partly because the implementation of new multilateral
environmental agreements (MEAs) has provided new opportunities for
evasion, and partly because greater public and governmental awareness
has led to more investigation of the issues.
Other contributory factors include the general trend
towards trade liberalization, as noted, and increased regional economic
integration, which both make enforcing border controls more difficult,
and the growth of transnational corporations, amongst whom regulations
are difficult to enforce. The transformation of the former Soviet
bloc, and the difficulties of environmental law making and law enforcement
and the rise of organized crime in many ex-Soviet economies, have
also contributed to the problem, as has the growing involvement of
developing countries in MEAs, but—in many of them—a lack of adequate
resources to implement their provisions effectively.
Wildlife
The Convention on International Trade in Endangered
Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES) was agreed in Washington in
1973 and came into force in 1975. It has 169 parties, and is generally
regarded as one of the more successful of the international conservation
treaties.
The illegal trade in wildlife, in contravention of the
controls established by CITES, is perhaps the highest-profile area
of international environmental crime. The poaching and smuggling of
commodities such as ivory, rhino horn, tiger bones, sturgeon eggs,
bear galls, wild-caught parrots and other wildlife with a high commercial
value directly threatens some or all of the populations of these species
in the wild. Unfettered trade in derivatives from hundreds of other
less charismatic species also serves to further deplete wild populations
subject to many other pressures. Because of its diverse origins, multiplicity
of products, broad consumer base and innately clandestine, high-value/low-volume
nature, it may also be one of the hardest to control— though there
are many instances where enforcement authorities have learnt to cooperate
with some success.
The wildlife trade flows predominantly from less developed
to more developed countries (i.e., South to North) and reflects consumption
patterns ranging from medical need through to the frivolous. Major
sources of demand are the exotic pet and flower trade, ingredients
for traditional East Asian medicine, cultural materials (such as ivory
for personal hanko seals in Japan and rhino horns for dagger handles
in the Yemen) and exotic curios and accessories. The clandestine nature
of the illegal trade means that live specimens are frequently transported
in terrible conditions and many die en route; mortality levels of
80 per cent, for example, were associated with the wild-caught bird
trade from Africa to Europe in the late 1980s.
CITES relies on a system of export and import permits
issued by national management authorities for controlling the trade
in some 34,000 species of wildlife; it does not seek to regulate habitat
protection or control harvesting operations within countries. The
most obvious way of circumventing these trade controls is through
direct poaching and smuggling. Fraudulent applications for genuine
CITES permits, faked certificates, making false declarations to customs
or laundering illegal specimens as captive-bred or as pre-Convention
stockpiles, have also been used to aid and abet illegal traffic.
Compiling data from various sources, the total global
commercial exchange of wildlife has been estimated at between US$10–20
billion a year, of which some US$5 billion may be in contravention
of CITES. Smuggling of wildlife species can be highly lucrative. An
African grey parrot exported from the Ivory Coast, for example, may
be worth US$20 at the time of capture, US$100 at the point of export,
US$600 to an importer in the US or Europe and over US$1,100 to a specialist
retailer.
Logging
Illegal logging takes place when timber is harvested,
transported, bought or sold in violation of national laws. By logging
in protected areas (such as national parks) or over the allowed quota,
by processing the logs (into plywood, for example, or pulp for paper)
without acquiring licenses, and by exporting the timber and wood products
without paying export duties, companies may be able to generate much
greater profits for themselves than by adhering to national laws and
regulations. The extent of illegal logging in some countries is so
large, and law enforcement is so poor, that the chances of detection
and punishment may be very small—and the incentives to operate illegally
correspondingly large.
The impacts of these illegal activities are multiple.
Most obviously, these are environmental: illegal logging depletes
forests, destroys the habitats of endangered species and impairs the
ability of land to absorb carbon dioxide emissions. They are also
economic: estimates from Indonesia suggest that the government is
currently losing more than US$1 billion a year in unpaid taxes (out
of a total budget, in 2003, of about $40 billion). World Bank studies
in Cambodia in 1997 suggested that illegal extraction, worth US$0.5–1
billion, was over 4 million cubic meters a year, at least ten times
the size of the legal harvest. If that level of extraction continues,
the country will be logged out within ten years of the industry starting,
removing a valuable source of employment and export revenues for the
future.
Illegal logging also undermines respect for the rule
of law and of government, and is frequently associated with corruption,
particularly in the allocation of timber concessions. For example,
Judge Barnett’s report on the timber industry in Papua New Guinea
in 1989 described companies “roaming the countryside with the assurance
of robber barons, bribing politicians and leaders, creating social
disharmony and ignoring laws.”
The substantial revenues from illegal logging sometimes
fund national and regional conflict. In Cambodia, Khmer Rouge forces
were sustained primarily by the revenue from logging areas under their
control for several years in the mid-1990s, until, under donor pressure,
Thailand and the Cambodian government cooperated to close their joint
border to log exports at the end of 1996, forcing the insurgents to
open peace negotiations.
Finally, as illegally logged timber is invariably cheaper
than legitimate products, it distorts global markets and undermines
incentives for sustainable forest management. A U.S. industry study
published in 2004 estimated that world prices were depressed by between
7 and 16 per cent (depending on product) by the prevalence of illegal
products in the market, resulting in a loss to U.S. firms of at least
US$460 million each year in foregone sales. As the World Bank observed
in 1999, “widespread illegal extraction makes it pointless to invest
in improved logging practices. This is a classic case of concurrent
government and market failure.”
It is believed that more than half of all logging activities
in the most vulnerable forest regions—Southeast Asia, Central Africa,
South America and Russia—may be conducted illegally. Worldwide, estimates
suggest that illegal activities may account for over a tenth of the
total global timber trade, representing products worth at least US$15
billion a year.
Fishing
As with the illegal wildlife trade, illegal fishing
poses threats to species survival (including other species caught
alongside the fish, such as sea turtles or seabirds), but it also
causes major economic costs through exhaustion of fish stocks, a problem
in particular for developing countries, which often rely on fish as
a major source of protein. UN terminology recognizes “illegal, unreported
and unregulated” (IUU) fishing: illegal fishing takes place where
fishing is against the law; unreported fishing takes place where legal
instruments are in place to control fishing, but no requirements for
reporting, or penalties for nonreporting, exist; and unregulated fishing
occurs where legal instruments are not required, not applied, or not
adequate.
A United Kingdom study of ten developing countries in
Africa and Oceania in 2005 estimated that IUU fishing was worth an
average 23 per cent of the total declared catch. The study showed
a strong inverse relationship between the extent of IUU fishing and
the level of fisheries monitoring, control and surveillance in the
country, and also its general level of governance. Extrapolating these
findings worldwide gave an estimated annual value of IUU fishing of
US$4.2 billion to US$9.5 billion.
One of the best-known examples of IUU fishing is that
of the Patagonian toothfish, a large, long-lived and slow-growing
deepwater fish increasingly in demand as a replacement for over-exploited
whitefish such as cod. Systematic commercial exploitation started
only in the late 1980s, but rapidly exhausted stocks off Argentina
and South Africa. In 1996–97, authorized catches under the Convention
on the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR)
amounted to 10,370 tonnes (with an additional 22,386 tonnes in catches
in exclusive economic zones), but estimates from port landings and
trade data suggested that an additional 42,800 tonnes were caught
illegally. The price of the toothfish fell drastically, and illegal
fishing in 1997–98 was estimated to have reached the lower figure
of 33,500 tonnes.
Extensive exploitation of toothfish stocks was undertaken
by ships operating out of non- CCAMLR states. As Convention member
states gradually closed their ports to unlicensed landings, the pirate
ships switched to transshipping their haul directly to freighters
at sea; the catch was then processed on land, often passing through
free trade zones. This demonstrates many of the problems connected
with controlling IUU fishing: non-signatory states to the relevant
convention, ships flying flags of convenience to escape domestic controls,
and the enormous difficulty of tracking illegal activities across
a huge area of ocean.
Even in comparatively well-regulated European waters,
illegal fishing is rife, created largely by the shrinking quotas—including
those set under the European Union’s Common Fisheries Policy—for commercially
valuable human consumption stocks. Misreporting of catches and retention
of undersized fish or fish caught over the allowed quotas is common;
recent estimates suggest that up to 40 per cent of the total catch
of the Scottish fleet, for example, may be illegal. Financial and
contractual pressure from retailers (usually supermarket chains) to
supply regular quantities of fresh fish often forces the processors
to buy from the black market, which in turn undercuts legitimate sales.
Interests and Fault Lines
Everyone is opposed to international environmental crime;
at least ostensibly. In reality, of course, many private individuals,
companies and government officials benefit from illegal trade, either
directly, or indirectly, through bribery and corruption.
In the long run, it will be difficult to address the
root causes of illegal trade without dealing with many other issues,
including the legal and regulatory structure (sometimes laws are so
complicated and contradictory that it is impossible—or at least uneconomic—
to operate legally), government budgetary policy (in some countries
the armed forces operate logging concessions to generate the income
they need), and corruption. This is why illegal trade is increasingly
being seen more broadly as an issue of governance.
It is nevertheless clear that when resources and political
will are focused on the issue, enforcement operations can have dramatic
effects. In response to international pressure stimulated by non-governmental
organizations (NGOs), in spring 2005, Indonesia launched a huge crackdown
on the illegal trade in merbau logs from West Papua to China. 400,000
cubic meters of logs were seized in just two months (equivalent to
3 per cent of the annual global tropical log trade), and 173 arrests
were made; shortages of merbau and price rises were reported in both
Indonesia and China, and almost a quarter of a billion dollars of
revenue losses to the Indonesian government were prevented. However,
this is far from the usual story. Enforcement agencies are generally
understaffed and under-resourced and often lack political backing.
In recent years, attention has focused on the role of
consumers in fuelling illegal trade through providing markets for
illegal products. The Group of Eight (G8), for example, which includes
all of the biggest consuming countries of natural resources apart
from China, expressed concern over environmental crime in general,
and illegal logging in particular, in 1998 and 2005. Most attention
in recent years has focused on the debate over the control of illegal
logging, with a series of World Bank-coordinated Forest Law Enforcement
and Governance conferences bringing together consumer and producer
country governments, industry and civil society in East Asia (2001),
Africa (2003) and Europe & North Asia (2005). In 2003 the EU launched
its Forest Law Enforcement, Governance and Trade (FLEGT) initiative,
of which the centerpiece is a new licensing system designed to exclude
imports of illegal timber and timber products from cooperating producer
countries.
Trade control mechanisms like this are becoming more
common, often learning from thirty years’ experience with CITES export
and import permits. CITES has had considerable success, though it
is hampered by the lack of a financial mechanism to provide assistance
with compliance and enforcement. Most of the species it protects are
not of significant commercial importance, which means that important
trading interests have not, in general, been threatened, but this
is beginning to change, with the gradual introduction of more widely
traded timber and fish species to the CITES appendices.
No single global agreement governs fisheries management,
though a number of regional fisheries agreements have introduced trade
controls to tackle IUU fishing. The Catch Documentation Scheme for
the Patagonian toothfish, introduced under CCAMLR in 2000, is designed
to exclude illegally caught toothfish from international markets.
The Scheme has had a clear impact on the price of toothfish, with
legal fish able to command a 20-30 per cent price premium—overcoming,
at least to an extent, the problem of legal harvesting being undercut
by cheaper illegal activities. In 2003, a number of governments established
the High Seas Task Force, with the objective of defining practical
solutions to the problem of IUU fishing.
As noted above, the EU FLEGT initiative introduces a
timber licensing scheme, similar in principle to the CCAMLR Catch
Documentation Scheme; it came into force in December 2005. Producer
countries with whom the EU will negotiate bilateral “voluntary partnership
agreements” will ensure that all exports destined for the EU have
been legally produced and processed at every stage of their chain
of custody; some form of independent verification of the licenses
is likely. Building up the scheme through a series of bilateral agreements—a
necessity given the lack of a multilateral framework for the timber
trade—does, of course, render it vulnerable to evasion by shipping
products via nonpartner countries, but the EU is hopeful of reaching
regional agreements. A number of EU governments have also started
to use public procurement policy to source only legal (and, where
possible, sustainable) timber and timber products, and several private
certification schemes—such as the Forest Stewardship Council—exist
which can guarantee this. In some countries, particularly the United
Kingdom, this combination of policy measures is beginning to have
a clear market impact.
The use of trade controls such as licensing and public
procurement has raised concerns amongst some major timber-exporting
countries, which fear the emergence of potential barriers to markets
for their exports. Most developing countries, however, seem ready
to accept the EU licensing scheme (it also contains a promise of capacity-building
assistance), and the main antagonist at present is the U.S., whose
timber industry is based on a large number of small forest owners
amongst whom certification systems are difficult to promote. During
the G8 discussions on illegal logging in 2005, the U.S., while content
to support enforcement assistance (particularly of the high-tech variety)
to timber-producing countries, was notably less enthusiastic about
procurement and licensing systems.
Trends and Future Directions
Despite the increasing attention paid to these areas
in recent years, and despite some individual success stories, there
is little evidence as yet of systematic progress in reducing illegal
trade in natural resources. Mechanisms designed to exclude illegal
products from international markets, however, seem likely to grow
in scope and size. Trade controls of this type bring about at least
the potential for conflict with WTO rules, and opponents have sometime
raised the specter of a clash as an argument against their adoption.
There has never been a WTO dispute involving CITES or
CCAMLR, and the application of permit and license systems within a
multilateral framework makes it unlikely. The Kimberley Process, which
is designed to exclude conflict diamonds from world markets and therefore
shares a number of characteristics with trade controls aimed at illegal
products, has, however been discussed explicitly within the WTO. In
late 2002, a number of participating states applied to the WTO General
Council for a waiver from their WTO obligations in this regard, and
the waiver was duly granted in February 2003. Most Kimberley Process
signatories, however, did not support this move, implying as it did
that the Process contravenes basic WTO disciplines, which they did
not accept.
The potential interaction of the EU’s FLEGT timber licensing
scheme with the WTO has also been discussed, though mostly outside
the WTO. Japan has raised the general issue of illegal logging and
the possibility of trade controls within the WTO Committee on Trade
and Environment (CTE), but without generating any debate or conclusions.
The introduction of the EU scheme through a series of bilateral agreements
rather than as part of a multilateral framework raises rather different
questions from those around licensing systems in MEAs, but it seems
highly unlikely that any of the countries involved in the agreements
(which will be the only ones affected by the trade restrictions) would
open a dispute within the WTO. WTO rules will, however, constrain
the EU’s adoption of additional measures to control imports of illegal
timber from non-partner countries (currently under discussion). However,
the most likely outcome—the adoption of legislation to make the possession
or handling of timber produced illegally overseas illegal in the EU—is
not a border measure and should not raise any WTO problems.
In theory, the general topic of illegal trade and
how to control it could usefully be discussed
within the WTO. WTO negotiators’ inbuilt
bias towards trade liberalization, however, and
hostility towards any discussion of trade
restrictions, and their limited knowledge
about environmental policy in general and
environmental crime in particular, must create
doubt over whether such a discussion would
generate any useful outcome. As long as the
measures adopted to control flows of illegal
trade in natural resources abide by the general
WTO principles of non-discrimination, transparency
and predictability—and there is no
reason why they should not—the matter of
their interaction with the WTO should
remain, as it now is, entirely speculative.